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27800 mercados

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

3.3%
prob.
$94.1M Vol.·31 dic

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

0.75%
prob.
$67.9M Vol.·18 mar

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

0.75%
prob.
$58.0M Vol.·18 mar

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

95%
prob.
$42.5M Vol.·31 dic

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%
prob.
$38.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

0.05%
prob.
$38.3M Vol.·27 may

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%
prob.
$35.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0.05%
prob.
$33.0M Vol.·1 jul

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

3.8%
prob.
$32.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%
prob.
$32.1M Vol.·7 nov

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%
prob.
$31.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0.15%
prob.
$31.5M Vol.·1 jul

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.85%
prob.
$31.3M Vol.·7 nov

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%
prob.
$31.2M Vol.·7 nov

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%
prob.
$30.3M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

0.15%
prob.
$30.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%
prob.
$30.2M Vol.·7 nov

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.3%
prob.
$29.9M Vol.·7 nov

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%
prob.
$29.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%
prob.
$28.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

11%
prob.
$28.4M Vol.·31 dic

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%
prob.
$27.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

0.05%
prob.
$27.7M Vol.·31 dic

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.1%
prob.
$27.6M Vol.·7 nov
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