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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

23%

prob.

Sí 23.4¢No 76.6¢

$6.1M Vol.·31 dic

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$6.1M Vol.·30 jun

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$6.0M Vol.·31 dic

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

63%

prob.

Sí 62.5¢No 37.5¢

$5.9M Vol.·27 may

Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$5.9M Vol.·1 jul

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.3%

prob.

Sí 1.3¢No 98.8¢

$5.9M Vol.·7 nov

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

33%

prob.

Sí 32.5¢No 67.5¢

$5.9M Vol.·30 jun

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

0.55%

prob.

Sí 0.5¢No 99.5¢

$5.9M Vol.·28 feb

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

8.8%

prob.

Sí 8.8¢No 91.1¢

$5.7M Vol.·31 mar

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

37%

prob.

Sí 36.5¢No 63.5¢

$5.7M Vol.·27 may

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

6.6%

prob.

Sí 6.6¢No 93.4¢

$5.7M Vol.·20 jul

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.7¢

$5.7M Vol.·7 nov

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$5.6M Vol.·28 feb

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$5.6M Vol.·20 jul

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0.35%

prob.

Sí 0.4¢No 99.7¢

$5.6M Vol.·20 jul

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 98.0¢

$5.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

22%

prob.

Sí 21.6¢No 78.3¢

$5.5M Vol.·30 jun

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$5.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$5.4M Vol.·30 may

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.5%

prob.

Sí 1.5¢No 98.5¢

$5.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.7¢

$5.3M Vol.·1 jul

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.9%

prob.

Sí 1.9¢No 98.0¢

$5.3M Vol.·7 nov

Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$5.2M Vol.·30 may

Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$5.2M Vol.·1 jul

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