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5125 mercados

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

1.4%
prob.
$945.4K Vol.·29 abr

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

0.15%
prob.
$934.5K Vol.·21 jun

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

5.1%
prob.
$933.9K Vol.·31 mar

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

5.5%
prob.
$929.4K Vol.·10 oct

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

2.5%
prob.
$928.9K Vol.·3 mar

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

16%
prob.
$910.2K Vol.·31 jul

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.5%
prob.
$852.5K Vol.·7 nov

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

14%
prob.
$838.4K Vol.·31 dic

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

7.5%
prob.
$816.9K Vol.·31 mar

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

36%
prob.
$816.8K Vol.·30 jun

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

46%
prob.
$767.0K Vol.·7 nov

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

4.1%
prob.
$751.9K Vol.·30 jun

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

13%
prob.
$748.5K Vol.·31 mar

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

12%
prob.
$741.5K Vol.·31 dic

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

0.75%
prob.
$730.1K Vol.·31 mar

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

2.1%
prob.
$725.4K Vol.·31 mar

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.25%
prob.
$707.5K Vol.·31 dic

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

1.5%
prob.
$685.4K Vol.·14 may

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

26%
prob.
$677.6K Vol.·31 mar

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

56%
prob.
$675.7K Vol.·31 jul

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

77%
prob.
$674.0K Vol.·31 mar

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

2.5%
prob.
$673.3K Vol.·10 oct

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

1.1%
prob.
$654.9K Vol.·29 abr

Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

0.05%
prob.
$654.4K Vol.·3 mar
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