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5146 mercados

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

52%
prob.
$515.6K Vol.·31 jul

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

4.5%
prob.
$508.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%
prob.
$503.0K Vol.·7 nov

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

6.7%
prob.
$489.8K Vol.·30 abr

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

14%
prob.
$483.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

28%
prob.
$472.8K Vol.·31 dic

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

4.3%
prob.
$470.9K Vol.·30 abr

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

9.5%
prob.
$466.9K Vol.·31 dic

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

2.1%
prob.
$458.3K Vol.·30 abr

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

1.9%
prob.
$451.3K Vol.·31 mar

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15%
prob.
$441.7K Vol.·31 dic

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

23%
prob.
$438.7K Vol.·30 jun

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.15%
prob.
$435.1K Vol.·30 abr

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

17%
prob.
$434.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

79%
prob.
$430.6K Vol.·3 mar

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

0.15%
prob.
$429.9K Vol.·21 jun

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.25%
prob.
$429.1K Vol.·30 abr

Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

0.05%
prob.
$426.7K Vol.·3 mar

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1.3%
prob.
$420.8K Vol.·10 oct

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

85%
prob.
$420.0K Vol.·29 abr

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

33%
prob.
$417.4K Vol.·31 dic

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

3.6%
prob.
$416.3K Vol.·30 jun

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

94%
prob.
$409.7K Vol.·30 abr

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

76%
prob.
$407.1K Vol.·31 dic
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