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Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.7¢

$403.2K Vol.·10 oct

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

16%

prob.

Sí 16¢No 84¢

$396.4K Vol.·30 jun

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

1.5%

prob.

Sí 1.5¢No 98.6¢

$390.0K Vol.·30 abr

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

63%

prob.

Sí 62.5¢No 37.5¢

$388.1K Vol.·31 dic

2026 Balance of Power: Other

0.80%

prob.

Sí 0.8¢No 99.2¢

$387.7K Vol.·3 nov

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

34%

prob.

Sí 33.5¢No 66.5¢

$381.6K Vol.·30 jun

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

4.7%

prob.

Sí 4.7¢No 95.3¢

$379.6K Vol.·31 dic

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

12%

prob.

Sí 11.5¢No 88.5¢

$377.6K Vol.·31 dic

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

15%

prob.

Sí 15¢No 85¢

$373.7K Vol.·31 dic

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

35%

prob.

Sí 35¢No 65¢

$372.8K Vol.·31 dic

Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?

3.1%

prob.

Sí 3.1¢No 96.9¢

$371.3K Vol.·31 mar

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

6.5%

prob.

Sí 6.5¢No 93.5¢

$369.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$366.1K Vol.·8 mar

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$361.7K Vol.·30 abr

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

1.5%

prob.

Sí 1.5¢No 98.5¢

$360.4K Vol.·3 nov

Epstein client list released by June 30?

16%

prob.

Sí 15.5¢No 84.5¢

$359.4K Vol.·30 jun

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

61%

prob.

Sí 60.5¢No 39.5¢

$359.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

60%

prob.

Sí 59.5¢No 40.5¢

$357.2K Vol.·3 nov

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$355.8K Vol.·30 abr

Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$351.0K Vol.·31 mar

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$345.9K Vol.·31 dic

Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?

1.9%

prob.

Sí 1.9¢No 98.1¢

$344.7K Vol.·31 mar

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

36%

prob.

Sí 35.5¢No 64.5¢

$339.6K Vol.·30 jun

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

6.7%

prob.

Sí 6.7¢No 93.3¢

$337.6K Vol.·31 mar

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