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Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$24.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$24.4M Vol.·31 dic

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$24.0M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$24.0M Vol.·31 dic

Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$23.7M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$23.5M Vol.·31 dic

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.85%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.2¢

$23.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$22.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$22.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$21.5M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$21.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$21.1M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$20.9M Vol.·31 dic

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$20.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$20.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$19.9M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

0.35%

prob.

Sí 0.4¢No 99.7¢

$19.6M Vol.·31 dic

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$19.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$19.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.9%

prob.

Sí 1.9¢No 98.0¢

$19.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

2.5%

prob.

Sí 2.5¢No 97.5¢

$19.3M Vol.·18 mar

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

3.4%

prob.

Sí 3.4¢No 96.7¢

$19.2M Vol.·31 mar

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.5%

prob.

Sí 1.5¢No 98.6¢

$19.2M Vol.·7 nov

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.85%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.2¢

$19.2M Vol.·7 nov

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