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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$11.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$11.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$11.6M Vol.·7 nov

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$11.5M Vol.·28 feb

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.7¢

$11.2M Vol.·7 nov

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.8%

prob.

Sí 1.8¢No 98.3¢

$11.0M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$10.8M Vol.·31 dic

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$10.3M Vol.·31 dic

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

40%

prob.

Sí 39.5¢No 60.5¢

$10.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$10.2M Vol.·7 nov

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.3%

prob.

Sí 1.3¢No 98.8¢

$9.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

49%

prob.

Sí 48.5¢No 51.5¢

$9.5M Vol.·31 jul

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

prob.

Sí 10.4¢No 89.5¢

$9.2M Vol.·31 dic

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.95%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.1¢

$8.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$8.5M Vol.·31 dic

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 99.0¢

$8.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$8.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

17%

prob.

Sí 16.5¢No 83.5¢

$8.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

27%

prob.

Sí 27.1¢No 72.9¢

$7.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.3%

prob.

Sí 1.3¢No 98.7¢

$7.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 99.9¢

$7.6M Vol.·31 dic

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2.3%

prob.

Sí 2.3¢No 97.8¢

$7.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$7.2M Vol.·7 nov

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

69%

prob.

Sí 68.5¢No 31.5¢

$7.2M Vol.·30 jun

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