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5114 mercados

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

14%
prob.
$6.9M Vol.·31 dic

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.5%
prob.
$6.9M Vol.·7 nov

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2.5%
prob.
$6.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

23%
prob.
$6.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

6.2%
prob.
$6.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2.1%
prob.
$6.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.7%
prob.
$6.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

0.05%
prob.
$6.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.8%
prob.
$6.1M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

0.05%
prob.
$6.0M Vol.·31 dic

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.3%
prob.
$5.9M Vol.·7 nov

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

34%
prob.
$5.9M Vol.·30 jun

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%
prob.
$5.7M Vol.·31 mar

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.4%
prob.
$5.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2.1%
prob.
$5.5M Vol.·7 nov

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

0.25%
prob.
$5.5M Vol.·28 feb

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2.3%
prob.
$5.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.6%
prob.
$5.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.9%
prob.
$5.2M Vol.·7 nov

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

1.3%
prob.
$5.2M Vol.·30 jun

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.6%
prob.
$4.9M Vol.·7 nov

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

38%
prob.
$4.9M Vol.·31 dic

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.4%
prob.
$4.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

4.3%
prob.
$4.8M Vol.·7 nov
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