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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

9.0%

prob.

Sí 9.0¢No 91.0¢

$4.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2.5%

prob.

Sí 2.5¢No 97.5¢

$4.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

4.2%

prob.

Sí 4.2¢No 95.9¢

$4.7M Vol.·7 nov

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

4.3%

prob.

Sí 4.3¢No 95.7¢

$4.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

3.6%

prob.

Sí 3.6¢No 96.4¢

$4.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

41%

prob.

Sí 41.2¢No 58.8¢

$4.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2.6%

prob.

Sí 2.6¢No 97.4¢

$4.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

13%

prob.

Sí 13¢No 87¢

$4.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

18%

prob.

Sí 17.7¢No 82.3¢

$4.4M Vol.·7 nov

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2.5%

prob.

Sí 2.5¢No 97.5¢

$4.3M Vol.·7 nov

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$4.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.5¢

$4.1M Vol.·7 nov

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

5.9%

prob.

Sí 5.9¢No 94.2¢

$4.1M Vol.·7 nov

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.5%

prob.

Sí 1.5¢No 98.6¢

$3.9M Vol.·7 nov

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2.6%

prob.

Sí 2.6¢No 97.4¢

$3.9M Vol.·7 nov

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.1%

prob.

Sí 1.1¢No 98.9¢

$3.8M Vol.·7 nov

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

7.2%

prob.

Sí 7.2¢No 92.8¢

$3.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$3.6M Vol.·7 nov

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.9%

prob.

Sí 1.9¢No 98.0¢

$3.6M Vol.·7 nov

Trump out as President by March 31?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$3.5M Vol.·31 mar

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

prob.

Sí 14.0¢No 86¢

$3.5M Vol.·31 dic

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.4¢

$3.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

54%

prob.

Sí 53.5¢No 46.5¢

$3.4M Vol.·4 oct

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

18%

prob.

Sí 17.5¢No 82.5¢

$3.4M Vol.·31 dic

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