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5123 mercados

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

3.0%
prob.
$2.3M Vol.·31 mar

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

14%
prob.
$2.3M Vol.·28 feb

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

0.05%
prob.
$2.2M Vol.·28 feb

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

1.9%
prob.
$2.2M Vol.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

6.2%
prob.
$2.2M Vol.·4 oct

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4.7%
prob.
$2.2M Vol.·4 oct

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

1.9%
prob.
$2.1M Vol.·31 mar

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.05%
prob.
$2.1M Vol.·31 dic

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

32%
prob.
$2.1M Vol.·3 nov

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.3%
prob.
$2.1M Vol.·7 nov

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.25%
prob.
$1.8M Vol.·4 oct

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15%
prob.
$1.8M Vol.·31 dic

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

18%
prob.
$1.8M Vol.·30 jun

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

1.6%
prob.
$1.8M Vol.·28 feb

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

9.5%
prob.
$1.7M Vol.·10 oct

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

86%
prob.
$1.7M Vol.·3 nov

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

24%
prob.
$1.7M Vol.·30 jun

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

25%
prob.
$1.7M Vol.·31 dic

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.90%
prob.
$1.7M Vol.·4 oct

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

14%
prob.
$1.6M Vol.·3 nov

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

1.9%
prob.
$1.6M Vol.·4 oct

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

1.5%
prob.
$1.6M Vol.·31 mar

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

85%
prob.
$1.5M Vol.·28 feb

Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?

2.0%
prob.
$1.5M Vol.·28 feb
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