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Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.7¢

$1.5M Vol.·7 nov

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

0.20%

prob.

Sí 0.2¢No 99.8¢

$1.4M Vol.·21 jun

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

52%

prob.

Sí 51.5¢No 48.5¢

$1.4M Vol.·31 jul

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

0.60%

prob.

Sí 0.6¢No 99.4¢

$1.3M Vol.·28 feb

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

58%

prob.

Sí 58.0¢No 42.0¢

$1.3M Vol.·31 jul

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

5.5%

prob.

Sí 5.5¢No 94.5¢

$1.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

2.3%

prob.

Sí 2.3¢No 97.8¢

$1.3M Vol.·28 feb

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.05%

prob.

Sí 0.1¢No 100.0¢

$1.3M Vol.·31 dic

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

4.9%

prob.

Sí 4.9¢No 95.1¢

$1.3M Vol.·28 feb

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

83%

prob.

Sí 82.5¢No 17.5¢

$1.2M Vol.·3 mar

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.75%

prob.

Sí 0.8¢No 99.3¢

$1.2M Vol.·7 nov

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

56%

prob.

Sí 56.5¢No 43.5¢

$1.2M Vol.·31 mar

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

14%

prob.

Sí 14.5¢No 85.5¢

$1.2M Vol.·3 mar

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

3.5%

prob.

Sí 3.5¢No 96.5¢

$1.2M Vol.·28 feb

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

6.5%

prob.

Sí 6.5¢No 93.5¢

$1.2M Vol.·31 dic

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

4.3%

prob.

Sí 4.3¢No 95.8¢

$1.1M Vol.·31 dic

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

6.5%

prob.

Sí 6.5¢No 93.5¢

$1.1M Vol.·31 dic

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

72%

prob.

Sí 71.5¢No 28.5¢

$1.1M Vol.·31 jul

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

61%

prob.

Sí 60.5¢No 39.5¢

$1.1M Vol.·31 dic

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

1.7%

prob.

Sí 1.7¢No 98.4¢

$1.1M Vol.

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

18%

prob.

Sí 17.5¢No 82.5¢

$1.0M Vol.·30 jun

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

49%

prob.

Sí 48.5¢No 51.5¢

$1.0M Vol.·30 jun

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

67%

prob.

Sí 66.5¢No 33.5¢

$1.0M Vol.·31 dic

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

1.7%

prob.

Sí 1.7¢No 98.4¢

$1.0M Vol.·31 dic

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