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Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

59%

prob.

Sí 59¢No 41¢

$440.5K Vol.·30 jun

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

4.3%

prob.

Sí 4.3¢No 95.8¢

$381.4K Vol.·16 may

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

4.9%

prob.

Sí 4.9¢No 95.2¢

$362.7K Vol.·16 may

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

5.8%

prob.

Sí 5.8¢No 94.3¢

$328.4K Vol.·16 may

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

2.4%

prob.

Sí 2.4¢No 97.7¢

$313.5K Vol.·16 may

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

98%

prob.

Sí 98.0¢No 1.9¢

$307.3K Vol.·28 feb

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

7.6%

prob.

Sí 7.6¢No 92.3¢

$307.2K Vol.·15 mar

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

0.60%

prob.

Sí 0.6¢No 99.4¢

$287.5K Vol.·16 may

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

4.9%

prob.

Sí 4.9¢No 95.1¢

$280.1K Vol.·15 mar

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

16%

prob.

Sí 15.7¢No 84.3¢

$264.9K Vol.·16 may

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

26%

prob.

Sí 25.9¢No 74.0¢

$245.4K Vol.·31 mar

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

52%

prob.

Sí 52¢No 48¢

$243.8K Vol.·15 mar

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

17%

prob.

Sí 17.4¢No 82.6¢

$237.1K Vol.·15 mar

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

64%

prob.

Sí 64¢No 36¢

$231.6K Vol.·15 mar

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

2.5%

prob.

Sí 2.5¢No 97.5¢

$229.6K Vol.·16 may

Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

0.45%

prob.

Sí 0.4¢No 99.6¢

$227.8K Vol.·15 mar

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

20%

prob.

Sí 20¢No 80¢

$223.4K Vol.·15 mar

Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?

0.65%

prob.

Sí 0.7¢No 99.4¢

$217.7K Vol.·25 feb

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

1.7%

prob.

Sí 1.7¢No 98.3¢

$214.8K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

17%

prob.

Sí 16.5¢No 83.5¢

$212.3K Vol.·30 jun

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

20%

prob.

Sí 19.5¢No 80.5¢

$204.8K Vol.·31 dic

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

3.0%

prob.

Sí 3¢No 97¢

$202.5K Vol.·31 dic

No one announced as next James Bond?

53%

prob.

Sí 52.5¢No 47.5¢

$195.5K Vol.·30 jun

Will Player 173 win Beast Games: Season 2?

0.40%

prob.

Sí 0.4¢No 99.6¢

$175.1K Vol.·25 feb

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