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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

24%

prob.

Sí 23.5¢No 76.4¢

$6.1M Vol.·31 dic

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5.5%

prob.

Sí 5.5¢No 94.5¢

$498.7K Vol.·31 dic

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

44%

prob.

Sí 43.5¢No 56.5¢

$280.4K Vol.·31 may

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

17%

prob.

Sí 16.5¢No 83.5¢

$278.9K Vol.·31 dic

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

34%

prob.

Sí 34¢No 66.0¢

$244.6K Vol.·31 dic

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

43%

prob.

Sí 42.5¢No 57.5¢

$218.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

98%

prob.

Sí 98.4¢No 1.6¢

$205.6K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

47%

prob.

Sí 46.5¢No 53.5¢

$188.8K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

2.9%

prob.

Sí 2.9¢No 97.1¢

$185.9K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

28%

prob.

Sí 27.5¢No 72.5¢

$171.7K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

13%

prob.

Sí 12.5¢No 87.5¢

$161.5K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

33%

prob.

Sí 32.5¢No 67.5¢

$144.5K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

2.2%

prob.

Sí 2.2¢No 97.8¢

$139.9K Vol.·31 dic

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.5%

prob.

Sí 9.5¢No 90.5¢

$138.3K Vol.·31 dic

Natural Disaster in 2026?

38%

prob.

Sí 37.5¢No 62.5¢

$135.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

51%

prob.

Sí 50.5¢No 49.5¢

$121.9K Vol.·31 dic

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

16%

prob.

Sí 15.5¢No 84.5¢

$120.4K Vol.·31 dic

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

22%

prob.

Sí 21.5¢No 78.5¢

$114.1K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

28%

prob.

Sí 28.5¢No 71.5¢

$105.7K Vol.·28 feb

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

3.5%

prob.

Sí 3.5¢No 96.5¢

$104.4K Vol.·10 mar

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

24%

prob.

Sí 24¢No 76¢

$93.7K Vol.·31 dic

Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

98%

prob.

Sí 98.0¢No 1.9¢

$92.1K Vol.·10 mar

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

30%

prob.

Sí 30¢No 70¢

$90.3K Vol.·31 dic

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1.6%

prob.

Sí 1.6¢No 98.4¢

$87.3K Vol.·31 dic

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