Explorar Mercados

86 mercados

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1.7%
prob.
$87.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

2.5%
prob.
$83.5K Vol.·10 mar

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

12%
prob.
$83.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

18%
prob.
$83.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

74%
prob.
$79.8K Vol.·10 mar

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?

64%
prob.
$76.4K Vol.·10 mar

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?

0.25%
prob.
$68.4K Vol.·28 feb

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

16%
prob.
$66.2K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

75%
prob.
$65.0K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

100%
prob.
$63.5K Vol.·31 dic

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?

10%
prob.
$62.4K Vol.·10 mar

Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?

64%
prob.
$59.5K Vol.·28 feb

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

0.65%
prob.
$59.2K Vol.·10 mar

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?

0.50%
prob.
$55.5K Vol.·28 feb

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

38%
prob.
$52.9K Vol.·31 dic

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

66%
prob.
$52.4K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

7.5%
prob.
$51.5K Vol.·28 feb

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?

84%
prob.
$49.2K Vol.·28 feb

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

32%
prob.
$47.3K Vol.·28 feb

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

17%
prob.
$46.6K Vol.·31 dic

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

10%
prob.
$46.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

4.3%
prob.
$46.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

70%
prob.
$42.2K Vol.·10 ene

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?

5.8%
prob.
$41.1K Vol.·10 mar
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