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Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?

0.85%

prob.

Sí 0.9¢No 99.2¢

$38.8K Vol.·10 mar

Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

0.20%

prob.

Sí 0.2¢No 99.8¢

$37.8K Vol.·10 mar

Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

0.25%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.8¢

$37.6K Vol.·10 mar

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

20%

prob.

Sí 19.5¢No 80.5¢

$32.1K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

5.5%

prob.

Sí 5.5¢No 94.5¢

$31.6K Vol.·31 dic

Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

1.7%

prob.

Sí 1.7¢No 98.4¢

$27.9K Vol.·28 feb

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7.5%

prob.

Sí 7.5¢No 92.5¢

$27.0K Vol.·31 mar

Nipah virus in US by March 31?

2.8%

prob.

Sí 2.8¢No 97.2¢

$26.8K Vol.·31 mar

Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

2.1%

prob.

Sí 2.1¢No 97.9¢

$26.6K Vol.·28 feb

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?

0.30%

prob.

Sí 0.3¢No 99.7¢

$21.5K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

97%

prob.

Sí 96.8¢No 3.2¢

$21.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?

0.80%

prob.

Sí 0.8¢No 99.2¢

$19.6K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

9.3%

prob.

Sí 9.3¢No 90.6¢

$15.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

22%

prob.

Sí 21.5¢No 78.5¢

$13.9K Vol.·10 mar

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

66%

prob.

Sí 65.5¢No 34.5¢

$12.5K Vol.·31 dic

Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

0.65%

prob.

Sí 0.7¢No 99.4¢

$9.8K Vol.·10 mar

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

9.9%

prob.

Sí 9.9¢No 90.1¢

$9.5K Vol.·31 dic

Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

4.5%

prob.

Sí 4.5¢No 95.5¢

$8.1K Vol.·10 mar

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

1.4%

prob.

Sí 1.4¢No 98.6¢

$7.7K Vol.·31 dic

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

6.3%

prob.

Sí 6.3¢No 93.8¢

$7.1K Vol.·31 dic

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 70 and 80?

90%

prob.

Sí 89.5¢No 10.5¢

$6.9K Vol.·27 feb

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

6.3%

prob.

Sí 6.3¢No 93.8¢

$6.6K Vol.·31 dic

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?

4.3%

prob.

Sí 4.3¢No 95.8¢

$4.9K Vol.·28 feb

Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in February?

0.35%

prob.

Sí 0.4¢No 99.7¢

$4.6K Vol.·28 feb

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