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86 mercados

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

5.1%
prob.
$4.6K Vol.·31 dic

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6.2%
prob.
$4.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?

0.35%
prob.
$3.9K Vol.·28 feb

Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?

1.3%
prob.
$3.5K Vol.·28 feb

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

63%
prob.
$2.9K Vol.·31 dic

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

2.4%
prob.
$2.7K Vol.·31 dic

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in February?

0.15%
prob.
$2.6K Vol.·28 feb

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.3%
prob.
$2.3K Vol.·31 dic

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

4.2%
prob.
$2.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be 100 or more?

1.0%
prob.
$1.5K Vol.·27 feb

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 60 and 70?

0.40%
prob.
$1.4K Vol.·27 feb

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 90 and 100?

0.40%
prob.
$489 Vol.·27 feb

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 80 and 90?

4.9%
prob.
$487 Vol.·27 feb

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be less than 60?

1.1%
prob.
$273 Vol.·27 feb
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