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215 mercados

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

13%
prob.
$124.4K Vol.·30 jun

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

0.65%
prob.
$120.6K Vol.·19 mar

New pandemic in 2026?

14%
prob.
$115.7K Vol.·31 dic

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

9.0%
prob.
$109.8K Vol.·19 mar

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

5.2%
prob.
$102.2K Vol.·30 jun

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?

0.70%
prob.
$100.0K Vol.·19 mar

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

84%
prob.
$96.0K Vol.·31 dic

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

80%
prob.
$74.0K Vol.·4 oct

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

22%
prob.
$72.6K Vol.·30 jun

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

7.6%
prob.
$70.7K Vol.·30 jun

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

5.5%
prob.
$52.1K Vol.·31 mar

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

31%
prob.
$51.7K Vol.·31 dic

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

14%
prob.
$42.9K Vol.·31 dic

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

31%
prob.
$37.2K Vol.·30 jun

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

21%
prob.
$33.9K Vol.·22 mar

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

4.5%
prob.
$33.1K Vol.·30 jun

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

96%
prob.
$32.5K Vol.·17 mar

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

11%
prob.
$31.3K Vol.·4 oct

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

13%
prob.
$30.4K Vol.·4 oct

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

1.6%
prob.
$30.1K Vol.·31 mar

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

5.0%
prob.
$28.8K Vol.·31 mar

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

9.5%
prob.
$28.2K Vol.·31 dic

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

0.45%
prob.
$28.0K Vol.·17 mar

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?

3.7%
prob.
$26.6K Vol.·17 mar
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